Such a distant future as +30 years, of course, interests most people, mainly from an abstract cognitive point of view. Few people often think about such a timeframe from a practical point of view, carefully think about possible changes in the world and plan their lives with these changes in mind. But in vain. Even if a person is still young, he needs to think not only about his pension and take now certain steps that will help him feel better closer to old age, but also think about the future of his children, who will be directly and strongly influenced by today’s decisions of their parents.
If 100 years ago it took decades for a new technology to gain popularity, now it takes years at most.
We must understand that our children will no longer live in the world we are used to and their future cannot be effectively planned in the way our parents could think about our future with you.
In this article, I will not talk a lot about what and how to take today, I think everyone can decide for himself, but I will tell you about my forecasts for one generation ahead. Where and in what world will our children and grandchildren live.
Of course, all such predictions have limited accuracy, and if I say that the technology will be widespread in 30 years, it means that maybe it will conquer the world in 20, and maybe in 40 years. But I very much doubt that the changes that I am writing about here, even if they do not take place exactly according to the scenario I described (this is almost impossible), may not happen at all, or that the vector of most of them will turn out to be diametrically opposite to the one I indicated.
Most interesting areas in 30 years
So let’s go. I will tell you about my vision of several of the most interesting areas for the period of the most active life of the next generation, i.e. after about 30 years.
Some of these topics intersect each other, but I have rendered the sections in such a way that readers can see the most interesting moments. I will cover the following main areas:
In 10-15 years, the overwhelming majority of cars put on the market will have advanced self-management functions. In 30 years, there will be few vehicles on the road that do not have fully autonomous driving functions. I think that on some of the main highways it will be forbidden to move in manual control mode due to the greater danger not only for oneself, but also for others.
This will lead to a reduction in the number of personal transport, since it will be much easier and cheaper to use automatic taxis, which will merge with modern car sharing and car rental services. Of course, personal cars can be easily rented, if desired, while the car is not in use, for example, while its owner is sitting at work, or at night, and make money on it.
Railway transport will not fundamentally change, autonomous control systems will only reduce the number of jobs in the railway industry and make delivery faster.
The robotization of ship and air transport will affect these industries even less.
Of course, new types of vehicles may appear, such as Hyperloop trains or passenger multicopper, but I do not expect that such technologies will have time to become very widespread in 30 years, most likely, they will be used in a small fraction of the total traffic.
The delivery of shipments using drones deserves special attention. The industry will continue to grow and in 30 years it will become commonplace to get an order from a store by drone.
I do not expect any super-revolutionary changes in terms of technology, there will be something close to today’s systems, only much more advanced. More powerful computers, more convenient interfaces, more versatile, cheaper and more widespread robots. Most likely, in the homes of many there will be universal robotic assistants capable of performing more than one given function, like modern robotic vacuum cleaners, robotic window cleaning robots or robotic lawn mowers, and something closer to the single experimental models that exist now, like humanoid robots, which with the help of manipulators and sensors, they will be able to perform a wide range of tasks around the house, from cleaning and cooking to helping in caring for children and, probably, even elements of their upbringing.
At the same time, I find it unlikely that in 30 years there will be fully universal robotic nannies, in whose care it will be possible to safely leave children for a long period of time and leave home on business. This will most likely happen in a somewhat more distant future.
The expected breakthrough, which may occur within 30 years, may be the emergence of sufficiently powerful universal quantum computers, in which the logic and speed of various classes of tasks are fundamentally different from classical computers (something like how the logic and speed of the brain work differently from logic and the speed of a modern computer), which will lead to very interesting effects, such as the need to replace modern encryption algorithms, a very significant increase in the power of artificial intelligence systems and many other consequences arising from this, which are now difficult to predict with sufficient accuracy.
There is also likely to be a lot of advancement in biocomputer development, but I find it unlikely that this technology will have matured enough in 30 years.